DWG KIA vs. RNG: MSI 2021 betting analysis

TL;DR

  • RNG enters with momentum after dominant 3-1 semifinal victory over PSG Talon
  • DWG KIA’s top lane vulnerability creates exploitable weakness for opponents
  • Early game tempo control will determine match outcome between contrasting styles
  • Bookmakers favor RNG slightly with 1.78 odds versus DWG KIA’s 1.92
  • Draft phase and champion picks could decide this evenly-matched final

The 2021 Mid-Season Invitational reaches its dramatic conclusion as DWG KIA faces Royal Never Give Up in the championship match. This international showdown represents the pinnacle of competitive League of Legends, bringing together the reigning world champions against China’s most dominant spring split team.

Both squads have demonstrated remarkable consistency throughout the tournament, overcoming formidable opponents to earn their place in the grand final. DWG KIA entered MSI 2021 as the clear tournament favorites, backed by their impressive Worlds 2020 championship performance. The Korean powerhouse has maintained intimidating form across all competition phases, experiencing difficulties only when confronting RNG during the rumble stage matches. Meanwhile, RNG’s players have exceeded expectations with their elevated gameplay level. Their convincing 3-1 semifinal victory against PSG Talon showcased a finely-tuned competitive machine with minimal exploitable weaknesses. DWG KIA endured an exhausting five-game series against MAD Lions to secure their finals berth, emerging with renewed confidence from that challenging test.

IT’S
#MSI2021
FINALS DAY!
IT’S
#MSI2021
FINALS DAY!
IT’S
#MSI2021
FINALS DAY!
IT’S
#MSI2021
FINALS DAY!
IT’S
#MSI2021
FINALS DAY!
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— LoL Esports (@lolesports)
May 23, 2021

Predicting the DWG KIA versus RNG outcome presents significant challenges due to their fundamentally different competitive approaches. While RNG typically represents the slower, methodical LPL style, their MSI performance has defied these expectations. During group stage matches against Unicorns of Love and Pentanet.GG, RNG demonstrated remarkable early game aggression, typically concluding matches in approximately 20-25 minutes. This accelerated tempo was primarily facilitated by jungler Yan “Wei” Yang-Wei, whose exceptional adaptation to the current tournament meta has been instrumental to their success.

RNG’s fast-paced strategic approach could stem from facing less challenging group stage opponents, but may equally indicate the LPL champions’ comprehensive understanding of the current meta where aggressive champion selections dominate. Confronting DWG KIA, this high-tempo strategy could prove ideal for neutralizing the individual skill advantages possessed by the Korean roster members.

DWG KIA has performed largely as anticipated, though with occasional strategic inconsistencies. Their 5-1 group stage record secured top position in their bracket, yet DWG KIA appears more vulnerable than initially projected. The most concerning area for DWG KIA has unquestionably been the top lane, where Kim “Khan” Dong-ha has experienced several unstable performances with elevated death counts.

This vulnerability represents a potential exploitation point for opponents beginning with RNG, whose top laner Li “Xiaohu” Yuan-Hao has delivered exceptional performances with outstanding support from jungler Wei. This dynamic elevates the top and jungle matchups to critical importance in this championship confrontation.

Should RNG successfully execute their characteristic early game dominance as demonstrated in group stages, DWG KIA will undoubtedly struggle to maintain competitive pace. If RNG fails to establish early game control, we’ll likely witness a scenario where DWG KIA dictates match tempo and secures victory through superior macro gameplay and enhanced team fight coordination.

A championship match of this caliber might be determined during the draft phase, given the closely matched skill levels between these elite rosters. Strategic observers should monitor champion selections including Rumble, Lucian, and Varus, which could significantly impact the strategic landscape.

ShowMaker

DWG KIA vs. RNG rosters:

DWG KIA roster:

  • Top – Kim “Khan” Dong-ha
  • Jungle – Kim “Canyon” Geon-bu
  • Mid – Heo “ShowMaker” Su
  • Bot – Jang “Ghost” Yong-jun
  • Support – Cho “BeryL” Geon-hee

RNG roster:

  • Top – Li “Xiaohu” Yuan-Hao
  • Jungle – Yan “Wei” Yang-Wei
  • Mid – Yuan “Cryin” Cheng-Wei
  • Bot – Chen “GALA” Wei
  • Support – Shi “Ming” Sen-Ming

Bookmakers predict close match between DWG KIA and RNG in MSI final

Update:

As anticipated by most analysts, DWG KIA and RNG will compete for the MSI championship trophy. This presents DWG KIA with an opportunity to redeem themselves against the LPL champions, having suffered two previous losses to RNG during this tournament. Statistically, this appears as an extremely competitive final with RNG holding a marginal advantage. The Chinese representatives benefited from additional preparation time before the championship match, providing strategic planning advantages against DWG KIA. The entire contest will likely hinge on team fight execution precision, as neither team inherently favors hyper-aggressive early game strategies.

Considering prior competitive results, it’s reasonable to regard RNG as slight favorites for this matchup. However, DWG KIA transforms into an entirely different competitive entity during high-stakes matches. The defending world champions possess extensive finals experience that could provide psychological advantages based on championship pedigree.

A successful RNG championship victory yields 1.78 betting odds, while DWG KIA offers slightly higher value at 1.92 odds. Bookmakers essentially view this as a perfectly balanced competitive encounter, suggesting spectators should anticipate an exceptionally entertaining spectacle. This final could potentially extend to the maximum five-game series, delivering maximum competitive drama.

The MSI 2021 championship match between DWG KIA and RNG commences on May 23, representing the culmination of international competitive League of Legends for the first half of 2021.

Action Checklist

  • Analyze draft phase for Rumble, Lucian, and Varus priority picks
  • Monitor early game jungle pathing and top lane matchup dynamics
  • Track team fight execution and objective control transitions
  • Evaluate macro decision-making in mid-to-late game phases

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