TL;DR
- Gambit enters as 1.45 favorites with superior map control and online performance
- Ninjas in Pyjamas rely heavily on dev1ce carrying the team through inconsistent performances
- Vertigo map selection will be decisive with Gambit’s 9-0 record against NiP’s T-side struggles
- Historical data favors Gambit 2-0 in previous 2021 encounters
- Best value found in Gambit -1.5 handicap at 2.33 odds
The ESL Pro League Season 14 group stage concludes with a high-stakes battle between Group D’s top contenders.
Team Liquid’s impressive run has intensified the competition between Gambit Esports and Ninjas in Pyjamas. These elite squads finally meet on the decisive final day of Group D competition. Beyond the $750,000 tournament prize pool, this event serves as the final competitive test before the prestigious $2 million PGL Major Stockholm. Current betting markets reflect a competitive matchup with Gambit priced at 1.45 and Ninjas in Pyjamas at 2.55.
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ESL Pro League Ninjas in Pyjamas betting analysis
Ninjas in Pyjamas have demonstrated fluctuating results throughout ESL Pro League Season 14. The Swedish organization suffered a convincing defeat against Team Liquid on opening day but recovered strongly with a swift victory over Entropiq. Star AWPer Nicolai “dev1ce” Reedtz maintains an impressive 1.25 kill-death ratio for the tournament. Supporting player Nicolas “Plopski” Gonzalez Zamora follows closely with 73 average damage per round and exceptional 50.7% headshot accuracy.
The comprehensive 0-2 defeat against Liquid raises concerns for the legendary Swedish team. Despite Dust 2 and Inferno representing NiP’s preferred map selections, Linus “LNZ” Holtäng delivered only 23 total eliminations across the entire series. While NiP’s primary stars show reasonable form, the entire roster must contribute consistently to advance to the $750,000 playoff stage. dev1ce seldom needed 30-kill performances during his Astralis tenure, but his current situation demands increased output from one of CSGO’s all-time greats.
ESL Pro League Gambit Esports betting analysis
Gambit’s remarkable 9-0 competitive record on Vertigo could prove decisive. The Russian squad delivered an overwhelming Counter-Terrorist display to secure game two in overtime against Team Liquid. Their hard-fought 2-1 triumph over the North American opponents provides significant momentum, particularly considering NiP’s unconvincing loss to the same Liquid lineup.
Despite maintaining favorite status, Gambit has shown unusual performance volatility. Sniper specialist Dmitry “sh1ro” Sokolov registered a disappointing eight eliminations versus Liquid on Inferno before exploding for 34 kills on Vertigo. Crucially, four of Gambit’s five roster members possess the capability to deliver dominant individual performances that could overwhelm Ninjas in Pyjamas. Combined with their return to online competition where the team historically excels, Gambit faces an almost ideal competitive scenario.
Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Gambit betting analysis
These competitive rivals have faced off merely twice during 2021. Both encounters resulted in Gambit victories, one concluding 2-0 and the other requiring three maps. NiP’s solitary map win occurred on Ancient during IEM Cologne, a result Gambit captain Vladislav “nafany” Gorshkov certainly remembers.
Beyond historical matchup data, Gambit maintains substantial strategic advantages in map selection. This series outcome largely depends on whether NiP chooses to confront Gambit’s Vertigo dominance. Both teams maintain perfect win percentages on this map, yet Gambit appears nearly unbeatable while NiP has experienced periodic difficulties on their Terrorist side executions.
Assuming neither team bans Vertigo, anticipate the map sequence to feature Vertigo, Ancient, and concluding with Dust 2. Gambit enters as the projected favorite at 1.45 odds to defeat NiP. The precise match score depends heavily on the final map pool configuration, but a -1.5 game handicap increases Gambit’s odds to 2.33. While predicting the exact winner presents challenges, a $20 wager on a three-map series generates $41.60 returns through Winners.bet.
Action Checklist
- Analyze map veto patterns and identify likely map pool selections
- Monitor pre-match odds movements across multiple bookmakers for value identification
- Evaluate player form through recent tournament statistics and individual performance metrics
- Consider alternative betting markets like map winners or round handicaps for better value
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